Apoena Research

How we invest

How we invest

The mandates the portfolio runs from 2 November 2026 and the rules they follow, how every figure on this site is measured, and every change we have made to a published figure.

Three mandates

From 2 November 2026 the portfolio runs under three mandates, each with its own written investment policy, goal and loss limits. The family's allocation policy sets how much goes to each.

MandateTargetRangeGoalBenchmark
Macro45%40–50%CDI + 3.0% a year over rolling 36 months57% Brazil's five-year fixed rate, 39% the S&P 500 hedged into reais, 4% CDI
Equities10%5–15%1.0 point a year above its benchmark over rolling 36 months85% Ibovespa, 15% CDI
Credit45%40–50%CDI + 1.75% a year over rolling 36 monthsthe CDI
The portfolio100%The mandates' benchmarks at their target weights

The portfolio moves to these weights from 2 November 2026 with new money, coupons and maturities; no bond held to maturity is sold to get there, so until then a mandate outside its range is on its way, not in breach.

Macro
Brazil's yield curve and global shares hedged into reais, with a tactical layer in rates, currencies, gold, bitcoin and the index. Each position is sized by what it adds to the portfolio's risk. Loss limits: a review at a 7.5% fall from peak, less risk at 12.5%, a 20% ceiling; at most 30% in unhedged currency.
Equities
Shares listed on B3, held directly and chosen company by company, long-biased; index futures only to set the market exposure and options only to protect. Shares abroad sit in Macro. Loss limits: a review at a 15% fall from peak, less risk at 22.5%, a 30% ceiling; net exposure 70% to 100%, at most 30% sold short.
Credit
Listed credit funds (real-estate, infrastructure and agribusiness receivables) and high-grade private credit held directly: debentures, bank paper and senior receivables funds. Credit analysis by Alexandre Vallim. Loss limits: a review at a 7% fall from peak, less risk at 10%, a 15% ceiling; at most 5% with any one economic group.

The rules from 2 November 2026

Set in October 2026, in force from 2 November 2026, for the whole family portfolio: the family's allocation policy decides how much goes to each mandate, and each mandate follows its own written investment policy. This site does not yet report compliance with these rules.

Goal
Each mandate's goal is set against the CDI or its own benchmark and judged over rolling 36 months; a single year is reported, not judged. The family's benchmark is the three mandates' benchmarks at their target weights. A goal, not a promise or a forecast.
Rebalancing
A mandate 5 points from its target is brought halfway back within 30 days; at the edge of its range, within 15 days. New money, coupons and maturities come first, then futures within each mandate's own rules; nothing held to maturity is sold to rebalance.
Loss limits
Each mandate has three: a fall from peak that brings a written review, a deeper one that cuts its risk by hedging, and a ceiling that calls a meeting. None forces the sale of a bond held to maturity.
Borrowing
None: what each mandate holds is never more than it is worth. Derivatives are listed on B3 and used to hedge or to set an exposure.
Cash
Money set aside for spending is kept outside the portfolio and its goals.
Review
Once a year, or sooner when a holder's tolerance for risk, a mandate's expected return or the expected path of the Selic changes.

How we measure

Returns. Time-weighted: money added or withdrawn is not counted as gain or loss. In reais, after trading costs and tax withheld at source, before tax the owners pay themselves. No management or performance fee is charged.

Valuations. The brokers' own statement values. Foreign holdings are converted at Banco Central do Brasil's PTAX rate; crypto at that day's market price. A month counts only when every account in the portfolio is valued; if one is missing, the next month's figure covers both. Nothing is filled in.

Estimated months (°). When a deposit or withdrawal of at least a tenth of a portfolio arrives on a day with no valuation, that period counts every deposit and withdrawal from the day it arrived (the Modified Dietz method, since 22 September 2026). The result is an estimate, marked ° wherever it appears: The family portfolio 4 of 7 periods.

The CDI. Banco Central do Brasil's daily CDI series (SGS 12), compounded over exactly the same dates as the portfolio.

Dates. Returns run to the portfolio's last month-end valuation, 30 September 2026, the last date the CDI series reaches. Holdings are at the latest valuation, 19 October 2026. The month so far is shown on its own and is not part of any year's figure.

Risk. Volatility and the Sharpe and Sortino ratios come from month-to-month returns and need at least 12 of them; on a short record they are estimates. The worst fall is measured from the highest value the portfolio's own record had reached. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Changes to published figures — last on 10 October 2026 (89 figures)

Every time a published return changed it is listed here, newest first: the figure before and after, over the dates named. Rows that did not change at two decimals are left out. The charts and the risk figures are worked out from these returns and are not listed.

Retired on 1 November 2026: F Fontaine, A Aberdeen, W Westmore, R Renoir. The four portfolios became one: from 2 November 2026 the family's money is run as one portfolio under three mandates, so their pages now point to it.

10 October 2026

XP's month-end statements replaced the same-day exports of 30 September and added 31 August: the same-day exports had priced several shares at the previous day's close, so September, and every year and period that ends with it, now uses each share's price on the month's last trading day.

PeriodBeforeAfter
F Fontaine
Since start, to 30 Sep 2026+11.83%+12.89%
12 months to 30 Sep 2026−1.83%−0.91%
2026, to 30 Sep 2026−1.49%−0.56%
Aug 2026+0.95%—
Sep 2026+3.37%—
A Aberdeen
Since start, to 30 Sep 2026+33.11%+33.08%
12 months to 30 Sep 2026+17.16%+17.13%
2026, to 30 Sep 2026+13.77%+13.74%
Aug 2026+1.05%—
Sep 2026+0.61%—
W Westmore
Since start (= 2026), to 30 Sep 2026+9.68%+10.74%
Sep 2026+6.15%+7.16%

5 October 2026

A share-offering trade of June 2026, made in a family member's account and paid with Delta's money, was added to Delta: bought and sold within two days, its gain now counts in Delta's return, and what the sale raised leaves Delta as money withdrawn.

PeriodBeforeAfter
F Fontaine (published as Δ Delta)
Since start, to 30 Sep 2026+11.18%+11.83%
12 months to 30 Sep 2026−2.40%−1.83%
2026, to 30 Sep 2026−2.06%−1.49%
Jun 2026−2.89%−2.32%

30 September 2026

Transfer costs stopped counting as losses: the exchange spread and the tax on money sent abroad, and one wire fee between our own accounts, now leave the portfolio with the transfer, as money withdrawn. Deposits into the foreign brokerage account are dated in the month its statements count them. One bond in Theta's June 2026 statement is read at the value the statement gives for the position.

PeriodBeforeAfter
F Fontaine (published as Δ Delta)
Since start, to 30 Aug 2026+6.28%+7.56%
Since start, to 21 Sep 2026+8.66%+9.97%
12 months to 30 Aug 2026−7.47%−6.97%
2023 (part of the year)+8.08%+8.29%
2024−1.68%−1.63%
2025+6.02%+6.56%
2026, to 30 Aug 2026−5.66%−5.25%
2026, to 21 Sep 2026−3.55%−3.13%
May 2023+0.33%+0.39%
Jun 2023+2.06%+2.08%
Aug–Sep 2023−0.24%−0.14%
Oct 2023−0.01%0.00%
Jan 2024+0.48%+0.49%
May 2024+0.60%+0.63%
Jul 2024+0.95%+0.98%
Jan 2025−1.32%−1.12%
Feb 2025−2.38%−2.36%
Apr 2025+2.30%+2.31%
Jun 2025−3.11%−3.07%
Jul 2025+5.71%+5.72%
Aug 2025+4.27%+4.40%
Sep 2025−1.49%−1.47%
Oct 2025−1.41%−1.33%
Jan 2026+1.25%+1.43%
Feb 2026−6.68%−4.12%
Mar 2026+1.43%−1.29%
May 2026−2.32%−2.19%
Jun 2026−2.94%−2.89%
Jul 2026+3.62%+3.66%
Aug 2026+0.91%+0.95%
A Aberdeen (published as Θ Theta)
Since start, to 30 Aug 2026+27.07%+32.30%
Since start, to 21 Sep 2026+27.60%+32.85%
12 months to 30 Aug 2026+13.18%+17.64%
2025+12.12%+12.38%
2026, to 30 Aug 2026+8.86%+13.08%
2026, to 21 Sep 2026+9.32%+13.55%
Feb 2025+0.75%+0.92%
Oct 2025+1.04%+1.11%
Mar 2026−4.91%−0.84%
Jun 2026+7.97%+7.54%

22 September 2026

Large deposits and withdrawals began to count from the day they arrived instead of at the end of the period they fell in.

PeriodBeforeAfter
F Fontaine (published as Δ Delta)
Since start, to 21 Sep 2026+8.07%+8.66%
2023 (part of the year)+6.37%+8.08%
2024−1.65%−1.68%
2025+6.62%+6.02%
2026, to 21 Sep 2026−3.12%−3.55%
May 2023+0.32%+0.33%
Aug–Sep 2023−1.82%−0.24%
May 2024+0.64%+0.60%
Jan 2025−0.96%−1.32%
Jun 2025−3.25%−3.11%
Jul 2025+6.74%+5.71%
Aug 2025+3.46%+4.27%
Sep 2025−1.63%−1.49%
Oct 2025−1.45%−1.41%
Nov 2025+0.54%+0.41%
Dec 2025+0.80%+0.57%
Feb 2026−6.32%−6.68%
Jun 2026−2.88%−2.94%
A Aberdeen (published as Θ Theta)
Since start, to 21 Sep 2026+36.48%+27.60%
2025+11.75%+12.12%
2026, to 21 Sep 2026+17.30%+9.32%
Aug 2024+0.70%+0.69%
Jan 2025+0.80%+0.85%
Feb 2025+0.55%+0.75%
Oct 2025+1.11%+1.04%
Dec 2025+0.88%+1.03%
Mar 2026−2.85%−4.91%
Jun 2026+13.12%+7.97%
Jul 2026+0.74%+0.55%
Aug 2026+1.09%+1.05%
R Renoir (published as ρ Rho)
Since start (= 2026), to 21 Sep 2026+9.30%+4.19%
Aug 2026+6.03%+1.12%
Sep 2026, to 21 Sep+0.74%+0.69%

A dash under After: the figure is no longer given over those dates, because a valuation at one of them was withdrawn.

In the monthly CSV, the column flows_at_end_return gives an estimated month measured the other way, with deposits and withdrawals counted at the end of their period. It is a second measurement, not an earlier publication.

Full disclosures

These are the accounts of one family and its companies, managed for the family only and not offered to the public. Apoena Research offers no product, advice or recommendation; nothing on this site is an offer or a solicitation to buy or sell any security.

The family portfolio is every account the family holds, valued together on one rule at one date. Until 1 November 2026 this site showed the same accounts as four portfolios; their record is the same money, and the changes made to their published figures stay listed on this page.

The record is short and every risk figure is an estimate from a small number of months. Records under 12 months are too short to judge. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Research is the author's own analysis on the date written, for information and education; views may change without notice.

Where the figures come from

Every figure is read from exports checked file by file against their own manifests before the site is written. Period 2026-10-19, valued 19 October 2026. Ledger 9e2e6f4378faf095. Manifests 464d3a0547625572. Built 2026-10-28T14:02:05+00:00.